The revolutionary thing about zero energy homes: They’re kinda normal.

May 22, 2012

I went on a tour of zHomes expecting to see exotic, futuristic technology and experimental building systems – Tomorrowland stuff.  Their website says:

“zHome is a revolutionary, 10-unit townhome development that uses smart design and cutting edge technologies to radically reduce its environmental impacts.”

Now, I don’t want to screw up their marketing, but the most amazing and inspiring thing about zHomes is that they’re not so whizbang at all.  They’re almost ordinary, in the best possible way.

Yes, they have some construction features that most homes don’t.  Yes, they have solar panels and ground-source heat pumps.  But none of this is eye-poppingly unusual.  I was expecting some kind of high-tech advanced building envelope system, until I walked in and saw the wall cross section display:  a well-insulated 2×6 stud-wall with foam on the outside.  Nice, tight, snug – but nothing fancy.

They have efficient CFL and LED lights – off the shelf; hydronic heating in the slab (hot water in tubes); Energy Star Appliances; energy monitors that are pretty cool but less sophisticated than most video game apps.

The components of a zHome are not unfamiliar.  But the result truly is extraordinary – beautiful, comfortable, affordable homes that use no net energy.  Zip. 

Demonstrating awesome performance, however, does not a revolution make.  The revolution is when everybody starts doing it – when the awesome thing becomes the done thing.

….and lo and behold (CSN fans), “there’s something happenin’ here….”.  What it is is becoming clear.

Brad Liljequist, the Project Manager (and heart and soul) of zHome, says in a terrific post in Dwell:

“Six years ago, when we first started zHome, the concept of true zero energy homes seemed like a far off dream. At about that time, the AIA 2030 Challenge was being championed with a vision for zero energy, zero carbon buildings being mainstream by 2030. At the time that seemed like an aggressive, if not impossible goal. Now, I personally think that timeline is too far out in the future.

Today I see breakthroughs happening everywhere. Numerous buildings, like the Bullitt Center and the Seattle Center House of the Future, are … showing deep green buildings in other contexts. But these high profile efforts are also paralleled by a realignment in more basic, mainstream building as well. Built Green 5 Star homes and LEED Platinum buildings are moving out of the “rare” category and popping up with greater frequency.”

Commercial sector greening too…

Meanwhile, McGraw-Hill Construction reports that the share of green buildings in the commercial sector will rise from 2% in 2005 to 48% by 2015.  Stephen Lacey at ThinkProgress reports that the industry will have to scramble to build up a qualified workforce fast enough to keep up with the demand.  These are the right problems to have.

The Bullitt Center is going to change the game — again, not just by demonstrating what’s possible, but by pushing what’s possible toward what’s done.  Stay tuned….

What happens when the choir won’t sing?

May 1, 2012

Originally posted at Climate Access

Have climate campaigners learned the art of political communication too well?  We poll and focus group.  We segment audiences and target swings.   We “go to people where they’re at” – activating live communication frames and salient issues.  We move the dial.   There is tactical merit in all this…

But climate change is not a “message.”  It’s an objective reality and an urgent crisis.  Deception about it will surely go down as history’s most egregious lie.  Avoiding or hedging this reality isn’t as bad as denying it, but it reinforces the larger ecosystem of denial.  It’s tough to imagine how we begin to turn the tide until we stand tall – with both feet, whole hearts, and strong, explicit words – on the side of the truth.

Our sophisticated calibrations about whether, when, and with whom climate change is an effective “message” have a perverse effect:  they reinforce our opponents’ message that it’s just a stalking horse for a political agenda.  When we bounce around from “jobs” to “clean air” to whatever we think will give us a bump in a swing-state poll, we undermine our own integrity and the moral urgency of climate change.

It is of course true that we sometimes gain tactical advantage this way.  And no one wants to risk losing important battles just to make a rhetorical point.  But overreliance on these maneuvers can limit our power and drain morale.  Climate advocates and organizers rightly wonder whether leaders who keep changing the subject have much confidence in our ultimate ability to prevail.

There are certainly hard-headed tactical reasons to downplay climate.  But there is also, speaking from personal experience, an element of shame here.  A disaster is unfolding on our watch.  It’s embarrassing to feel so powerless, and talking about climate just shines a spotlight on our futility.

In political circles, it’s considered naïve and off-key to focus on climate, a sign of insufficient commitment to “winning,” the only coin of the political realm.   Since it’s difficult to construct a politically plausible scenario in which we actually do what’s necessary to avert dangerous climate disruption, practical people find it somewhat rude to discuss.   David Roberts memorably equated this to “flatulence at a cocktail party.

But there is no strength in shame, and silence makes it worse.  Unless and until we square up to climate per se, we’re going to keep losing the war even when we win battles.  And we’re going into some key battles right now with our strong hand tied behind our back.

Here’s an immediate example of the problem:  Peabody and Arch are trying to justify coal export to Asia by saying their coal is lower in sulfur and ash than Chinese coal.  How are we going to fight that if clean air and public health are – as the polls would have it – our top messages, and climate is a footnote?   Why are we even in the position where using prospective SO2 reductions to justify feeding a global catastrophe doesn’t sound as lame to even our friends as it is?  At least in part because we decide that clean air is tactically a better message, and pussy-foot around climate.

In the coal export battle, we often confront the question “Somebody’s going ship the coal to Asia, so why shouldn’t we get the [purported] economic benefits?”  We can’t definitively promise that if we stop a particular coal export terminal, the same coal won’t be shipped from somewhere else.  But we can and should make the case that the whole damned business is wrong – not just environmentally costly but unconscionable – no matter what anyone else does.  And we can only make that case if we lean into the climate conversation.  We can’t draw a credible moral line in the sand – let alone get more folks on the right side of it – if we avoid or minimize the climate implications.

Our experience at Climate Solutions suggests (and recent polling confirms) that the tactical risks of talking explicitly about climate are overblown.   Yes, it can be a “loser” as a “message,” but generally only when we talk like losers – when we internalize and reiterate our opponents’ bad frames.   We find that focusing on climate is generally a “winner” when we:

  • Invoke a strong sense of human agency and responsibility.  We’re causing it.  We should fix it.
  • Foster engagement and efficacy.  Futility is the enemy of responsibility, and it’s rampant in our political culture.  But people remain hungry for solutions, and eager to participate.  Pollyannish optimism?  No.  Can-do determination to build a better future?  Definitely.
  • Embed (don’t bury) climate in the challenge of freeing ourselves from fossil fuel dependence.  Almost everyone at least suspects that fossil fuel dependence is a dead end, and feels victimized by the forces that perpetuate it.  Climate solutions can free us!

We all still have a lot to learn about what works in climate communication, and I’m grateful that Climate Access is now on the beat full time.  But my primary point here is not:  “Talk more about climate because it’s not as bad of a message as you think.”  My point is:  Talk about climate because we must – because tackling it is a moral imperative, and we’ll never convince anyone of that if we keep dodging and weaving around it.

This is not a holier-than-thou thing.   Climate Solutions is certainly “guilty” of tactical aversion to explicit climate conversations.   Many passionate, strong, smart people in the climate movement have chosen to de-emphasize climate because they believe it’s the best way to make real progress.   Some of them think that to do otherwise – to emphasize climate when it is demonstrably not the most effective message – is sentimental and foolish.  I respect that view.  And none of us will know for sure until we break through, so nobody has a high horse to ride.  Nor is the answer black and white:  “Lead with climate at all times” is clearly not the right strategy.

I do know, however, that I can only be effective if I speak the truth about the climate crisis – strategically, and with a clear understanding of the audience – but consistently and unapologetically.  For my own advocacy, this rationale for focusing on climate in public messaging is sufficient.  But it also loops back into a larger strategic consideration:  our moral standing.

Many of us share the view that we will never prevail at anything close to the necessary scale until climate action is understood as the moral watershed that it is.  Yes, good numbers on jobs are vital.  Yes, air quality improvements are compelling, and potentially a useful bridge to climate awareness.  Yes, “co-benefits” abound and we should talk about them all. But none of this is remotely sufficient to a challenge of this scale without the moral driver.

Our standing to pose this moral choice depends critically on our own strength and integrity.  Climate leaders can and do simultaneously hold in their hearts the moral imperative for climate solutions and the tactical imperative to use the most effective message to secure substantive victories.   But we can’t build a strong enough movement on a foundation of serial political indirection, tactically useful as it may be.   It is how the game is played, but we are far enough into this game now to conclude that we can’t win it just by playing it better.

And we certainly shouldn’t confuse our role in the game with the role of political candidates.  I can almost forgive politicians who avoid talking about climate (my kids, however, cannot).  But what’s our excuse?  We’re not running for office.  We have to change the political game, so candidates can champion climate solutions and win.  And to do that, we need both moral power and a climate conversation that won’t quit.

We’d be fools to ignore what our communication research tells us.  But we can’t develop the strength we need just by telling people what they want to hear.  We have to tell the truth, and act like we believe it.

Disrupting the ecosystem of denial and building a culture of responsibility – Part 2

April 22, 2012

In part 1, we named some of the cognitive systems that sustain climate denial, and explored our roles in those systems.  Now let’s build a better system.

Using a conventional model of cause and effect, we act as though climate science denial were the primary obstacle to action.   Following that model, we foster understanding of facts, hoping that action will follow.

But it turns out that the relationship between denial and inaction is circular, not linear.  Inaction is both an effect and a cause of denial.

I often come back to the most illuminating result we ever got in a focus group, from the woman who said to us, “I don’t think climate change is a big issue, because nobody’s doing anything about it.”  She made the eminently logical inference that if it were really as bad as all that, the responsible authorities would be doing something.

This is roughly the logic I used to cope with the election of 2000.  I remember thinking:  “The election can’t have been stolen.  I don’t even want to look at the evidence for that, because if it were true, then we would be in open revolt.  And we’re not, and it’s not my job to declare a revolt.  So it must be ok.”  Did I really believe that, on the basis of looking at the evidence and arriving at a conclusion?  Of course not.  I refused to look at the evidence, because in the absence of collective will to deal responsibly with the implications of any other conclusion, I just couldn’t handle it.

The only thing that would have overcome my denial was engaging in a serious effort to deal responsibly with the consequences of a stolen election.   I needed a mode and a culture of responsibility to be a part of, and I didn’t see one.  (It was there, of course.  It just didn’t seem very robust, or scaled to the challenge.  Besides, denial was a lot easier, and it seemed to be working for everyone else, and I had this other big, scary, intractable reality on my hands.)

But there is an emerging culture of responsibility for climate solutions.  It’s everywhere.  It rocks.  You can build it, today.  You don’t have to extinguish denial first. It’s not like a 12 step process, where you have to get all the way through step 1 before beginning steps 2-12.  Fully having the problem may not be possible until we get real about solving it.  I know, it sounds like a Catch-22.   Just start.   Ask questions later.

So this feature in GRIP will focus both on exposing our own role in denial, and celebrating the growing profusion of a culture of responsibility.  Our global and national institutions don’t seem to be up to the task, but in communities everywhere, people are finding ways to just do solutions.  Their efforts are delivering more than carbon reduction, more than the many economic, environmental, and social “co-benefits” of solutions.  They are defying and disrupting the ecosystem of denial.  They are making it more possible to believe that the problem and the solutions are real.

Will this growing, distributed uprising of solutions “add up” to carbon reduction at scale?  No.  But it can multiply up.  It will help reverse the vicious circle of denial and inaction, turning it into a virtuous circle of responsibility and solutions.   Each action will make every other action more plausible, more likely, more hopeful.   And if we can build a fully functioning culture of responsibility, it just might make what’s necessary seem possible.

More to come.